Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.112018 0.132798 0.156056 0.183974 0.216528 0.253247 0.297757
2025-01-19 0.076727 0.102474 0.134571 0.177339 0.232629 0.301471 0.393440
2025-01-26 0.060000 0.088054 0.126115 0.181112 0.258056 0.361307 0.509667
2025-02-02 0.048637 0.077283 0.119002 0.183482 0.279747 0.417048 0.626295
2025-02-09 0.040127 0.068399 0.112218 0.184038 0.297456 0.467907 0.741037
2025-02-16 0.034180 0.062067 0.107767 0.186685 0.317651 0.523714 0.868680
2025-02-23 0.030348 0.058359 0.106630 0.193980 0.345489 0.593756 1.025701
2025-03-02 0.025241 0.051364 0.098668 0.188276 0.350523 0.627030 1.126287
2025-03-09 0.021924 0.047013 0.094559 0.188481 0.365317 0.677597 1.260615
2025-03-16 0.018833 0.042491 0.089346 0.185708 0.374058 0.718129 1.381204
2025-03-23 0.017029 0.040253 0.088135 0.190282 0.396807 0.785753 1.556926
2025-03-30 0.014899 0.036906 0.084140 0.188648 0.407153 0.831227 1.695906
2025-04-06 0.012767 0.033196 0.078902 0.183891 0.411059 0.865661 1.819275
2025-04-13 0.010880 0.029691 0.073552 0.178110 0.412111 0.894664 1.935382
2025-04-20 0.009919 0.028274 0.072681 0.182095 0.434412 0.968731 2.149596
2025-04-27 0.008981 0.026724 0.071237 0.184522 0.453515 1.038034 2.360801
2025-05-04 0.008059 0.025025 0.069150 0.185092 0.468410 1.099803 2.562058
2025-05-11 0.007352 0.023781 0.067997 0.187755 0.488451 1.174708 2.798913
2025-05-18 0.006926 0.023268 0.068664 0.195091 0.520524 1.279549 3.111867
2025-05-25 0.006016 0.021100 0.064531 0.189356 0.519790 1.309505 3.258596
2025-06-01 0.005440 0.019849 0.062727 0.189561 0.533988 1.375567 3.494726
2025-06-08 0.004831 0.018358 0.059985 0.186774 0.540079 1.422852 3.691055
2025-06-15 0.004515 0.017788 0.059864 0.191373 0.566243 1.521427 4.019395